Monte Carlo Profit Simulator

Signal Rating:
Updated for the market open on Monday, May. 21, 2012

The Monte Carlo simulatior estimates performance by simulating a $5,000 investment always in the market. A summation is created using one year of random daily profits from random trades over the past two years. This process is repeated 10,000 times to yield the distribution below. From statistics, one standard deviation (1 sigma) indicates a 16% likelyhood of achieving the 1 sigma profit shown and a 2% likelyhood of achieving the 2 sigma profit. The calculation makes no allowance for slippage or commissions.

Important Note: Monte Carlo results shown below are hypothetical based on past performance. Please see our terms for details.
 


StockSpotter Most Likely Annual Profit : $4,180   Probability of Exceeding Breakeven : 96%
S&P500 Buy/Hold Profit ($5,000 invested) : ($170)   1 Sigma Profit Est. : $6,220

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